The need for active long-termism
There is value in a long-term approach to investing in global credit, in our view, as long as it is based on active security selection. Indeed, we believe that the longer the holding period, the more active the asset manager needs to be. It may at first glance look paradoxical, but a low-turnover portfolio can only be effective in meeting long-term investment objectives if the investment process is supported by strong portfolio construction, a rigorous credit research process and active market surveillance. This is because buy and maintain managers need to be able to preemptively identify potential credit events. The buy and maintain investment approach aims at capturing the credit risk premium through a low-turnover portfolio. That credit risk premium is sizeable over the long term, roughly averaging 90 basis points annually since 1997.1
Typically, we would maintain positions through periods of price volatility or negative credit rating migration if the risk of impairment is low. However, we would implement a proactive sell discipline and exit positions if there were material fundamental deterioration and increased default risk. Given the low-turnover investment style, a thorough security selection process becomes critical, with strong emphasis placed on fundamental analysis. The main advantage of an unconstrained approach, i.e., the absence of a formal benchmark, is it tends to favor portfolio stability, including lower turnover and a longer holding period, minimizing transaction costs and capturing more of the credit premium.
Overall, we expect buy and maintain strategies to play an increasingly prominent role in the strategic asset allocation of long-term institutional investors going forward. This is because, in large part, we believe buy and maintain is well suited to serve investor needs in terms of sustainability credentials.
Endnotes
1 Source:Bloomberg, ICE BofA. Global Corporate Credit index. Monthly data from December 1997 to September 2024. Excess return = difference between total return and rate return, YoY change, basis points.
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