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Strategist's Corner
- Institutions & Consultants
- Insights
- Market Insights
Strategist's Corner
Market observations and investment outlook by MFS' Global Investment Strategist Rob Almeida
Strategist's Corner | READ22 July 2024Investors are Seeking the Right Answers to the Wrong Questions
Rob Almeida suggests that investors should be more concerned about fundamentals than potential rate cuts.
Strategist's Corner | READ21 May 2024The Evolution of the Consumer Staples Sector
In the consumer staples space, clear profit visibility has given way to tech-driven disruption. As a result, separating the winners from the losers requires deep research and an appreciation of nuance.
Strategist's Corner | READ22 April 2024Inflation Surprise? No, Not Really
The market is currently correcting mistaken assumptions that were based on a market cycle driven by artificially low interest rates. As market dynamics shift, the source of a company's growth will also shift.
Strategist's Corner | READ16 April 2024A Different Paradigm
As the world shifts away from one of artificially suppressed interest rates and cheap manufacturing, investors will need to carefully consider how companies are positioned to navigate the new higher-cost paradigm.
Strategist's Corner | READ21 February 2024Indexing Dilutes Capitalism
Rob Almeida examines how indexation has amplified the disconnect between valuations and fundamentals.
Strategist's Corner | READ25 January 2024Great Expectations
Financial markets appear optimistic to start the year, while investors currently believe inflation will slow, rates fall, and profits rise. Rob Almeida explains why those beliefs may be contradictory.
Strategist's Corner | READ5 December 2023How the Capital Cycle Could Impact 2024
How might investors think about the year ahead? The capital cycle fuels the engine of progress, but it can also create excesses and inefficiencies. Rob examines why that’s relevant today and going forward.
Strategist's Corner | READ20 November 2023The End of Declining Capital Intensity
Rob Almeida examines how a shift from supply chain efficiency to resiliency will likely affect a company's return on capital. What type of companies are positioned to navigate this paradigm shift, and which companies are not?
Strategist's Corner | READ23 October 2023The Far-Flung Past is Prologue
The negative stock/bond correlation from 1998 until 2019 was the anomaly, not the positive relationship that began in 2022. While correlations of asset classes normalize, the importance of security selection and manager allocation will matter immensely.
Strategist's Corner | READ13 October 2023Either Stocks or Bonds are Wrong
Real yields in the US are either too high or equity valuations are well above fair value. Investors who can understand which enterprises possess real value and those that do not, will find themselves in an enviable position compared with the broader market.
Strategist's Corner | READ31 July 2023The Increasing Need to Reach Deeper Into the Tool Box
We have begun a new regime, where investors will need to do a lot more homework and may find it advantageous to use a mosaic of not only valuation, but also fundamental tools, to help guide the way through this cycle.
Strategist's Corner | LISTENMay 22, 2024The Evolution of the Consumer Staples Sector | Transcript
Rob Almeida and Genevieve Gilroy, consumer staples sector leader, explore the shifting dynamics in the consumer staples sector in this podcast episode. They also discuss the importance of a collaborative, global research platform in differentiating opportunities across categories.Strategist's Corner | LISTENFebruary 7, 2024Three Out of Four Ain't Bad | Transcript
Rob Almeida and Brad Rutan discuss in this podcast how investors are pricing in a favorable outlook for the economy, interest rates, inflation and earnings and the implications for the markets if some of those fail to live up to expectations.Strategist's Corner | LISTENAugust 2, 2023Local Currency EMD: Uncovering a New Opportunity Set | Transcript
Emerging markets debt portfolio manager Ward Brown joins Rob for this podcast to dig into the uniqueness of local emerging markets debt investing, the trajectory of EM economies and business cycles, and potential opportunities going forward.Strategist's Corner | LISTENApril 15, 2024Signs of the Time: Making Sense of a World in Transition | Transcript
Rob Almeida is joined by Bill Gevov, MFS Senior Regional Consultant, in this podcast episode to discuss topics that are top of minds for many across the investment community, including the direction of interest rates, the impact of shifting global dynamics, and how investors may want to think about the effects of AI going forward.
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Market Insights
Market Insights
Market Pulse | READ2 July 2024Market Pulse
Leveraging the expertise from the MFS Market Insights team to provide timely perspectives on economic and market dynamics that are top of mind for clients.
Market Insight | READ31 May 2024Lessons Learned from 100 Years of Investing
With 100 years of investing experience, MFS has the unique ability to provide insight into the lessons we have learned that can help our clients meet their investment objectives.
Market Insight | READ1 May 2024MFS Digest: May 2024
The MFS Digest summarizes key market themes and topics affecting investors and features related thought leadership from across MFS.
Market Insight | READ28 March 2024GLP-1s Weigh on the Market
We provide a high-level overview of recent developments in the weight loss drug category and explore how they may impact other industries. These highly effective drugs were born out of research to treat diabetes but have additional benefits.
Market Insight | READ5 January 20242024 6 Key Themes
Forward-looking snapshot of what we believe will be relevant and may influence the markets and economy.
Capital Mkts View | Read24 October 2023Capital Markets View
The MFS Capital Markets View entering the fourth quarter of 2023 aggregates insights on the equity and fixed income asset classes across regions and countries.
Market Insight | READ24 July 2023Dude, Where's My Recession?
MFS Chief Economist provides perspective on the current economy, central bank thinking, and the trajectory of a potential recessionary environment.
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Long Term Capital Markets Expectations
Long Term Capital Markets Expectations
LTCME | READ25 July 2024MFS Long-Term Capital Market Expectations: July 2024
The July 2024 edition of MFS' Long-Term Capital Market Expectations includes proprietary expectations that look at return and risk across a variety of asset classes and regions. This version details our view of current economic and capital market conditions.
LTCME | Read29 January 2024MFS Long-Term Capital Market Expectations - European Edition (January 2024)
Europe regional edition of our Long-Term Capital Market Expectations. These proprietary expectations look at return and risk across asset classes and regions in Euros terms.
- Institutions & Consultants
- Insights
- Market Insights
Strategist's Corner
Market observations and investment outlook by MFS' Global Investment Strategist Rob Almeida
Investors are Seeking the Right Answers to the Wrong Questions
Rob Almeida suggests that investors should be more concerned about fundamentals than potential rate cuts.
The Evolution of the Consumer Staples Sector
In the consumer staples space, clear profit visibility has given way to tech-driven disruption. As a result, separating the winners from the losers requires deep research and an appreciation of nuance.
Inflation Surprise? No, Not Really
The market is currently correcting mistaken assumptions that were based on a market cycle driven by artificially low interest rates. As market dynamics shift, the source of a company's growth will also shift.
A Different Paradigm
As the world shifts away from one of artificially suppressed interest rates and cheap manufacturing, investors will need to carefully consider how companies are positioned to navigate the new higher-cost paradigm.
Indexing Dilutes Capitalism
Rob Almeida examines how indexation has amplified the disconnect between valuations and fundamentals.
Great Expectations
Financial markets appear optimistic to start the year, while investors currently believe inflation will slow, rates fall, and profits rise. Rob Almeida explains why those beliefs may be contradictory.
How the Capital Cycle Could Impact 2024
How might investors think about the year ahead? The capital cycle fuels the engine of progress, but it can also create excesses and inefficiencies. Rob examines why that’s relevant today and going forward.
The End of Declining Capital Intensity
Rob Almeida examines how a shift from supply chain efficiency to resiliency will likely affect a company's return on capital. What type of companies are positioned to navigate this paradigm shift, and which companies are not?
The Far-Flung Past is Prologue
The negative stock/bond correlation from 1998 until 2019 was the anomaly, not the positive relationship that began in 2022. While correlations of asset classes normalize, the importance of security selection and manager allocation will matter immensely.
Either Stocks or Bonds are Wrong
Real yields in the US are either too high or equity valuations are well above fair value. Investors who can understand which enterprises possess real value and those that do not, will find themselves in an enviable position compared with the broader market.
The Increasing Need to Reach Deeper Into the Tool Box
We have begun a new regime, where investors will need to do a lot more homework and may find it advantageous to use a mosaic of not only valuation, but also fundamental tools, to help guide the way through this cycle.
The Evolution of the Consumer Staples Sector | Transcript
Three Out of Four Ain't Bad | Transcript
Local Currency EMD: Uncovering a New Opportunity Set | Transcript
Signs of the Time: Making Sense of a World in Transition | Transcript
Market Insights
Market Pulse
Leveraging the expertise from the MFS Market Insights team to provide timely perspectives on economic and market dynamics that are top of mind for clients.
Lessons Learned from 100 Years of Investing
With 100 years of investing experience, MFS has the unique ability to provide insight into the lessons we have learned that can help our clients meet their investment objectives.
MFS Digest: May 2024
The MFS Digest summarizes key market themes and topics affecting investors and features related thought leadership from across MFS.
GLP-1s Weigh on the Market
We provide a high-level overview of recent developments in the weight loss drug category and explore how they may impact other industries. These highly effective drugs were born out of research to treat diabetes but have additional benefits.
2024 6 Key Themes
Forward-looking snapshot of what we believe will be relevant and may influence the markets and economy.
Capital Markets View
The MFS Capital Markets View entering the fourth quarter of 2023 aggregates insights on the equity and fixed income asset classes across regions and countries.
Dude, Where's My Recession?
MFS Chief Economist provides perspective on the current economy, central bank thinking, and the trajectory of a potential recessionary environment.
Long Term Capital Markets Expectations
MFS Long-Term Capital Market Expectations: July 2024
The July 2024 edition of MFS' Long-Term Capital Market Expectations includes proprietary expectations that look at return and risk across a variety of asset classes and regions. This version details our view of current economic and capital market conditions.
MFS Long-Term Capital Market Expectations - European Edition (January 2024)
Europe regional edition of our Long-Term Capital Market Expectations. These proprietary expectations look at return and risk across asset classes and regions in Euros terms.